In recent times, it has been on the news that the National Leader of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, has an interest in running for the presidency when the tenure of President Muhammadu Buhari ends in 2023. So far, the former governor of Lagos state is yet to categorically state that he is actually going to be contesting for the exalted seat in the country, but reports from different quarters have it that the APC national leader is actually putting plans in place to actualise this dream.
Well, if the body language of Asiwaju Bola Tinubu is anything to go by, along with reports from certain quarters, then the top APC chieftain will definitely be throwing his hat in the ring to contest for the Presidency as things stand now. However, this ambition of Tinubu seem to be a move that may eventually lead to the death of his current party, the All Progressives Congress (APC).
This is because, a lot of actions in recent times seems to be pointing towards a possible game plan which may knowingly or unknowingly see the former Lagos state governor eventually breaking away from his current party to form a new party with new alliances.
There are several reason why this may be the case, lets look at a few of them.
El-Rufai’s Recent Attack On Tinubu
Since some top political entities in the All Progressives Congress, APC, which happens to be Tinubu’s party got the vibe that the former Lagos governor may be interested in running for the office of the President, there have been attacks aimed at him from some of the party members who are not in support of the idea. At the forefront is the Governor of Kaduna State, His Excellency, Nasir El-Rufai, who had subtly attacked Tinubu as he gave an advice in how to overthrow “godfathers” while in Lagos state – where Tinubu is considered to be the political godfather by many.
El-Rufai did not stop there as when insinuations came up that Tinubu might be considering making him his running mate in 2023, the Governor, in a veiled attack aimed at Tinubu said that he had no interest in running for office with a drug baron. This stance by El-Rufai has seemed to mirror the mindsets of many politicians in the fold of the ruling party as some have complained of the seeming high handedness of Tinubu.
Members and Supporters Of PDP ‘Endorsing’ Tinubu
When the report of the plan by Tinubu to run for the 2023 Presidency came into the public domain, a number of PDP chieftains and supporters surprisingly greeted the news with happiness. One prominent PDP chieftain who took this action was former Minister of Aviation, Chief Femi Fani-Kayode, who obviously, elated with the news, hyped Tinubu for his courage in deciding to carry out such a ‘bold’ move. FFK as he is fondly called, had been one of the most ardent critics of the Tinubu and this party which makes it all the more surprising.
See his tweet below:
I am not in Bola Tinubu's party but I commend him for having the courage to aspire to be Pres. in 2023. How many southern politicians from either @OfficialAPCNg or @OfficialPDPNig have had the guts to do that?If nothing else he has challenged the myth that the north owns Nigeria
— Femi Fani-Kayode (@realFFK) May 17, 2019
Also, another top PDP chieftain, Adeseye Ogunlewe, who was a former minister as well, recently defected along with his son to the All Progressives Congress (APC). Ogunlewe who incidentally is from Lagos state just as Tinubu, stated that one of the reasons why he left the Peoples Democratic Party was because the APC had shown an interest in giving the southwest zone the slot for the Presidency come 2023, and that he will like to be a part of the movement. And Tinubu as it stands, seems to be in the forefront for the race.
Apart from that, well respected writer and public figure, Dele Momodu, who supported the Presidential candidate of the PDP in the recently held Presidential elections has as well declared his support for the former Lagos State governor.
See his tweet below:
Nigeria's next President in 2023? The race has started… Best wishes to one of Nigeria's most influential politicians ASIWAJU BOLA AHMED TINUBU… pic.twitter.com/vrQ1OWCTGV
— Dele Momodu Ovation (@DeleMomodu) May 20, 2019
The theory here is that Tinubu may be aligning with some of these top politicians from the southwest even though they are currently in the opposition, meaning that there is a possibility although slim, that he may be taking his supporters away from the APC while sticking with this new alliance, if he doesn’t get his way with the APC due to certain forces within the fold of the party that are trying to resist his ambition.
Northern Individuals and Groups Kick Against Tinubu’s Presidential Ambition
Apart from Governor El-Rufai, another notable northern politician in APC, Adamu Kuta, from Niger state has said that although, the National Leader of the party had immensely contributed to the success of the Party, and he was a nice person, he cannot be president of the country. Also, the Arewa Youth Consultative Forum (AYCF), had in strong worded statement which it released recently, warned the APC National Leader to forget about contesting for the Presidency in 2023. Incidentally, the north, have over time provided a large chunk of the votes which have determined the winner during elections in the country.
The North May Still Want Power In 2023
Another chieftain of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Prince Tony Momoh, from the Southern State of Edo, has said that the north will spring up a surprise in 2023, in the race for the presidency, which may narrow the odds of Tinubu if he opts to run for office of the President.
For now President Muhammdu Buhari, is yet to say anything on the issue of the 2023 Presidency, but there are feelers that he may even prefer his vice, Yemi Osinbajo, who is from the southwest region and was allegedly handpicked by Tinubu to serve as the President’s deputy. This may also cause some discord in the ruling party if not properly handled.
The above stated reasons may be very tricky for the All Progressives Congress, APC, as a party to survive as there are way too many interests to be served and egos to massaged. However, it remains to be seen if Tinubu will actually declare for the 2023 Presidency and if the party will survive the many problems that may occur as a result. Only time will tell.
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